Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 3.568232 3.953229 4.371106 4.859808 5.417476 6.036117 6.777237
2025-07-27 3.069167 3.594854 4.206202 4.975300 5.924869 7.069126 8.567962
2025-08-03 2.736743 3.335979 4.068647 5.041746 6.317494 7.957589 10.266250
2025-08-10 2.484270 3.124705 3.939472 5.070085 6.627436 8.741575 11.908093
2025-08-17 2.221052 2.862874 3.705308 4.915910 6.651598 9.116060 13.005430
2025-08-24 2.035564 2.681215 3.552558 4.844765 6.766470 9.611027 14.327489
2025-08-31 1.894095 2.544139 3.443831 4.817233 6.930322 10.183380 15.838894
2025-09-07 1.822448 2.496472 3.453441 4.958064 7.355832 11.202150 18.235761
2025-09-14 1.715077 2.387690 3.363007 4.934783 7.515037 11.802446 19.995525
2025-09-21 1.613633 2.279333 3.263166 4.884666 7.620172 12.316869 21.673078
2025-09-28 1.482039 2.116724 3.068453 4.664378 7.414339 12.258626 22.232879
2025-10-05 1.423172 2.060543 3.033643 4.700910 7.651235 13.020571 24.555650
2025-10-12 1.378152 2.024348 3.029948 4.793085 8.004085 14.059855 27.698801
2025-10-19 1.338913 1.994555 3.034118 4.898761 8.393385 15.225449 31.377261
2025-10-26 1.294647 1.953493 3.016172 4.962729 8.709605 16.287493 35.055039
2025-11-02 1.247291 1.904167 2.980403 4.990334 8.956513 17.237976 38.680247
2025-11-09 1.172594 1.805245 2.853576 4.839098 8.828925 17.358283 40.189386
2025-11-16 1.117540 1.736145 2.773795 4.769313 8.859640 17.833843 42.764474
2025-11-23 1.073488 1.683237 2.718933 4.742306 8.976182 18.521685 46.106881
2025-11-30 1.057887 1.678059 2.748101 4.880438 9.460686 20.154056 52.687663
2025-12-07 1.019356 1.630883 2.698411 4.857604 9.588244 20.931279 56.847346
2025-12-14 0.979624 1.579584 2.638117 4.808449 9.650957 21.553578 60.685933
2025-12-21 0.919490 1.489396 2.501190 4.592359 9.308777 21.073702 60.638235